Day By Day

Wednesday, August 16, 2006

The Defeat of Israel? An Alternative View

StrategyPage isn't buying the doom and gloom assessments of the recent Israeli-Hiz'bullah conflict. Here's their take:
The Israeli strategy appears to be to allow the UN deal to self-destruct. If the UN peacekeepers can disarm Hizbollah, fine. If not, Israeli ground troops will come back in and clear everyone out of southern Lebanon. At that point, it will be obvious that no one else is willing, or able, to deal with the outlaw "state-within-a-state" that Hizbollah represents. Hizbollah will still exist after being thrown out of southern Lebanon, and it will be up to the majority of Lebanese, and the rest of the Arab world, to deal with Hizbollah and radical Shias.

Hizbollah suffered a defeat. Their rocket attacks on Israel, while appearing spectacular (nearly 4,000 rockets launched), were unimpressive (39 Israelis killed, half of them Arabs). On the ground, Hizbollah lost nearly 600 of its own personnel, and billions of dollars worth of assets and weapons. Israeli losses were far less.

While Hizbollah can declare this a victory, because it fought Israel without being destroyed, this is no more a victory than that of any other Arab force that has faced Israeli troops and failed. Arabs have been trying to destroy Israel for over half a century, and Hizbollah is the latest to fail. But Hizbollah did more than fail, it scared most Moslems in the Middle East, because it demonstrated the power and violence of the Shia Arab minority.
Read it here.

I don't know if this is how things will eventually turn out, but it's a plausible take on things and far more so than the wailing and gnashing of teeth that is the current conventional wisdom in the MSM.

I would point out that the MSM has a vested interest in proclaiming the propaganda war to be the be-all and end-all of everything. That would make them the ultimate arbiters of everything.

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