Day By Day

Tuesday, August 29, 2006

Pennsylvania Politics -- More Polls

The Zogby polls are out. They have both good and bad news for both parties. In the gubenatorial contest Zogby has Swann only four points behind Rendell [48-44 percent -- a surprise since most polls have the gap at around ten points or more. In the Senate race, Zogby has Santorum trailing Casey by nine points [51-42 percent -- more than most polls which has the deficit at about six points]. Read about it here.

I'm not sure if this means much. It could show some volatility in the electorate, but it is a small sample and could be out of line. I would point out, however, that Zogby has consistently showed the gubenatorial race to be closer than other polls have.

There is good reason to discount the Zogby results. The Rasmussen poll, taken one day after the end of the Zogby polling period shows Rendell to be ahead of Swann by twelve points, 50-38 percent. Read it here.

This is consistent with other recent polls which show Rendell to have a double-digit lead over Swann. Most of Rendell's lead is from non-partisan voters and he has recently benefited from his announcement that this will be his last election campaign [although he has kept open the possibility of accepting a non-elective post in some future Democrat administration].

Rasmussen also has Santorum trailing Casey in the senatorial contest by eight points, 48-40 percent. This is the first time that Rasmussen has had the lead at less than double digits and is good news for Rick's campaign.

Read it here.

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