[T]he White House is right to push hard on [troop withdrawal], because you need a Lebanon preoccupied with itself for peace to work in Palestine and Israel, not one that serves as staging ground for terrorist attacks. If Hezbollah is serious about being a party that serves the people, then it should get busy on that.
With Syria gone from Lebanon, then the real patron of Hezbollah will be the only local regime with serious influence over events there. That would be Iran. Can we scare Iran off like we seem to be scaring Syria off? If we can't, we might find ourselves stymied on both Israel-Palestine and Iraq, where Iran holds the only real vetoes now that we seemed to have lined up all the major Arab regimes and scared off Syria. In short, we seem to be winning the Sunnis and setting ourselves up for a showdown with the Shiites, with nuclear Iran as their gunslinger.
Now that's a scary thought. He has a lot of other stuff; just scroll around and you're sure to find something stimulating. I like much of his analysis, and and agree emphatically with his assessment of Richard "Hair on Fire" Clarke and Michael "Anonymous" Schuerer as semi-competent self-serving blowhards.
Check it out here.
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